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Article - May 14, 2026

Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast 2026

Chris Herbert

Chris Hebert

TropicsWatch Manager, Houston

Hurricane from space

Outlook for the 2026 Hurricane Season

The start of the 2026 hurricane season is fast-approaching. In this outlook, we will be looking at some of the indicators that can help identify what type of season to expect. There will be another update in mid-May.

Some of the factors that StormGeo's Hurricane and Long-Range Forecasters evaluated to determine this forecast include:

  • Return of El Niño
  • Potentially high wind shear
  • Primary analog seasons featuring hurricane development in the northwest Caribbean

Continue reading this forecast for an in-depth analysis of the current signals and long-range patterns. The forecast also looks at major risk areas and how many storms may develop this season.

Only have time for a quick glance?
Check out our Atlantic Hurricane Season Risk Map, which shows risk areas for impact and the predicted number of storms by intensity.
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