Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast 2026

Outlook for the 2026 Hurricane Season

The 2026 hurricane season has begun on a relatively quiet note. While a few weak disturbances have developed across the Caribbean and Gulf regions, none have posed a significant threat for tropical development.

In this outlook, we will examine several key atmospheric and oceanic indicators that help provide insight into the potential activity and overall character of the season ahead. An updated outlook will be issued in mid-July.

Some of the factors that StormGeo's Hurricane and Long-Range Forecasters evaluated to determine this forecast include:

• A strong El Niño
• Potentially high wind shear
• Primary analog seasons featuring hurricane development in the northwest Caribbean

Continue reading this forecast for an in-depth analysis of the current signals and long-range patterns. The forecast also looks at major risk areas and how many storms may develop this season.

Only have time for a quick glance?
Check out our Atlantic Hurricane Season Risk Map, which shows risk areas for impact and the predicted number of storms by intensity.

Explore a solution